California - East Bay Housing Inventory

East Bay California - Housing Inventory

The total Months of Inventory has been holding fairly steady for the past several months with August 3rd showing a 4% decrease for twenty-seven East Bay communities in Alameda and Contra Costa counties compared to July 2nd. Seventeen were lower, nine higher and one even with last month. Overall active listings decreased by 3% and pending sales increased by 3%. August 3rd overall average was 4.60 months compared to 4.49 on July2nd.

These figures only measure market activity compared to what is available for sale.

It is a snapshot to where the market is today, buyer’s, seller’s, or balanced market. These figures tell you nothing about prices, values, or how many days it takes to be a pending sale. Check with your local Realtor for this information.

Although it is a buyer’s market, historically 4.60 months of inventory would be a balanced market. This unique situation of having a large number of short sales, foreclosures, and lenders higher qualifying standards, plus the shortages of funds for jumbo loans, has temporarily changed the definition of a balanced market.

We are experiencing a unusually high number of pending sales in the outlying areas where a lot of beginning price range new homes have been constructed over the past five years and have resulted in substantial price drop that have created some relatively good values. We are seeing less price drops in the more populated mid to higher priced homes.

We won’t go back to historical standards of Month of Inventory until most of the short sales, foreclosures have worked through the system, better liquidity of lender funds and some favorable coverage in the media.

In the bay area five months of inventory is considered a balanced market and National Association of Realtors states that six months of inventory for the nation is a balanced market.

Months of Inventory

8/3/2008

Community

Active

Pending Sales

Months of Inventory

Danville

271

54

5.02

Alamo

155

9

17.22

Walnut Creek

318

69

4.61

San Ramon

332

87

3.82

Dublin

207

53

3.91

Pleasanton

335

55

6.09

Livermore

423

97

4.36

Blackhawk

80

7

11.43

Diablo

12

1

12.00

Concord

620

144

4.31

Pleasant Hill

120

30

4.00

Martinez

209

39

5.36

Clayton

53

15

3.53

Rossmoor

153

23

6.65

Lafayette

100

26

3.85

Orinda

82

15

5.47

Moraga

50

15

3.33

Pittsburgh

594

136

4.37

Antioch

1000

297

3.37

Brentwood

404

123

3.28

Oakley

305

78

3.91

Castro Valley

210

51

4.12

Fremont

733

143

5.13

Hayward

935

181

5.17

San Leandro

393

114

3.45

San Lorenzo

135

27

5.00

Oakland

1867

304

6.14

Average

374

81

4.60

The three markets with the highest monthly inventory - Alamo, Blackhawk, and Diablo - contain a greater percentage of high-end homes than the other communities. This reflects slow sales for homes above the $1.5 million price point.

Antioch, Brentwood, Oakley and Pittsburgh are reflecting the increase in sales activity as a result of buyers and investors snapping up foreclosures and bank owned properties in these communities.

Good deals for buyers and investors should continue for another 12 months, though the best deals are probably available now, as foreclosure property continues to become available.

For more information on East Bay, San Francisco Bay and Northern California real estate, visit HarperMee & Associates. You can request FREE Market Reports on most bay area communities here.

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